Episodes
Reading the feed…
Reading the feed…
Over the past week we have seen more indicators that the housing market is battling with a storm of issues, from rising interest rates, yes the RBA will have to hike further, higher inflation, which is causing the RBA to move, and higher bond yields signifying higher borrowing costs for households, businesses and the government. … Continue reading "The Property Dominos Are Continuing To Fall; Hard!"
Data today reinforces our view of more cash rate hikes are in the wind in Australia, as household spending data suggests households are just fine. Today we look at the data, highlight some issues with the interpretation, and consider that case for more hikes, adding to the pressure on some households. My base case is … Continue reading "Are Households Really Splashing The Cash?"
Today we got the Consumer Price Index (CPI) date from the ABS and they reported that in July 2026, it headline measure rose 3.5 per cent over the past 12 months, down from 3.8 per cent in the 12 months to June, which was hotter than many economists had expected. Trimmed mean annual inflation which … Continue reading "More Rate Hikes Are Likely As The CPI Lands Hot…"
In this edit of our latest live show I discussed the latest housing and economic data with Chief Economist Leith van Onselen, co-founder of Macrobusiness and Nucleus Wealth. So much noise, but what are the signals saying? Will this really be the worse home price correction for 4 decades? And what of the broader economy? … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Yet Another Housing Price Gotcha: With Leith van Onselen"
In this show Edwin and I kick around the questions of listings (are they rising or falling?), rents and migration all drivers of property price moves. In addition the latest news from the AML sector is significant, as are the latest political moves. Beware averages… If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, … Continue reading "It’s Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!"
More data this week showing property prices continue to fall, driven my multiple drivers, from interest rates, poor wages growth, high inflation changes to Government tax law, and reduced mortgage lending. Every part of the country is impacted. The latest clearance rates confirms the falls too, as transaction volumes remain in glacial territory. One other … Continue reading "Yet Another Housing Price Gotcha!"
This is our weekly market update where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia and end in Australia, covering commodities and crypto along the way. We had major developments this week which underscored the fragility of the global financial system, as US Government debt hit $40 trillion, Australian Government debt hit $AU1 … Continue reading "Markets Fret About Debt, Bonds And An Incoming Financial Crisis…"
A quick look at the latest social media posts, and media would give you the impression that unemployment in Australia just went through the roof, and so rates cuts from the RBA are off the table. A rise in the unemployment rate to its equal-highest level in almost five years last month suggests the economy … Continue reading "An Unbelievable Reaction To The Latest Unemployment Data!"
In this show, journalist Tarric Brooker and I dive into the latest on Australian housing, the pressures on the banking system resulting from declining lending growth, and rent rises, but set against the broader political and economic context, using his great slides. We also pick apart the bond market, given the OZ Government $1 Trillion … Continue reading "Banking On Housing? With Tarric Brooker…"
The ABS released their Wage Price Index (WPI) for June 2026 today, and confirmed what my surveys already highlighted, in real terms, after inflation on average households are going backwards. But if you are working in the Government funded sector, you are doing better, and if you are living in South Australia, you are doing … Continue reading "We Are Still Getting Poorer!"
In this edit of my live show I discussed our latest surveys, modelling and analysis, with a specific look at where the current risk hotspots for mortgage and rental stress are located. Robbie Barwick also joined for part of the show, were we discuss that horrific news that the Government and Opposition will join together … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Mapping Household Housing Pain (And Act Now To Save Our Freedom!)"
Yes, Edwin is back for another swim through the property market deeps, as we look at the latest statistics, emerging trends and more questions for those in charge. Are there signs of a change in Brisbane markets, despite falls elsewhere, and how wil the gap between new build prices, existing property and rentals be squared. … Continue reading "Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!"
The bad news keeps coming for households in the mortgage and rental sectors across the country. So today we pick apart the latest analysis, and also cover the latest auction clearance results from the weekend. Truth is first time buyers, property investors and others are on the sidelines, as the pressure builds. And join us … Continue reading "More Households Ride The Pain Train!"
This is our weekly market update, where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia and end in Australia, covering commodities and crypto along the way. Thanks to followers who responded to my observation made last week that despite this being for me one of my most important shows each week, it gets … Continue reading "Mixed Signals Drives Markets Into A Spin!"
The value of total new home loans fell 5.2 per cent (-$5.4 billion) this quarter, after a 3.4 per cent fall in the previous quarter. They sheet the falls to the changed lending conditions, with the Reserve Bank of Australia increasing the cash rate for the third time in 2026. Changes to negative gearing and … Continue reading "Busted: New Home Lending Fell In The June Quarter!"
Lots more data showing firmer falls in home prices are likely, with ANZ the latest to revise down. Yet, we had industry leaders and Treasurer Chalmers talking the market up, so is there are glass half full story to be told? Well, perhaps we can learn from the latest REINZ data showing New Zealand prices … Continue reading "Home Prices: Is The Glass Half Full? Ask New Zealand!"
We discuss the RBA decision yesterday and consider the implications for households who are facing higher inflation and rents, higher mortgage rates, and poor productivity. Banks are calling deeper property price falls ahead and falling mortgage application volumes while the RBA attributes migration and big IT AI investments as elements propping up the economy. Its … Continue reading "Households Are Going To Stay On The “Pain Train” For Some Time Yet…."
This is an edit of a live show where former Senator Gerard Rennick from the People First Party and Robbie Barwick from the Citizens Party, who together announced the joint formation of the new Australian Peoples Party, joined us to explore the real alternative this new party offers. We explored their policies, and importantly answered … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Australian Peoples Party – A Real Alternative: Ask Robbie & Gerard"
Well, it seems the truth about the current slide in home prices is emerging, as falls are now quickly spreading to almost every suburb in Sydney and Melbourne, and also into smaller capitals too – once regarded as a one way upward bet by many – as the perfect storm of high inflation, flat wages, … Continue reading "Perfect Storm: Home Price Falls Are Spreading Like A Rash!"
This is a shorter than normal show today as Edwin was not able to join us. However I was able to discuss the latest coverage of the current property correction, thanks to Cookie, and also discussed the question of the RBA decision due tomorrow as mortgage applications are drying up and price falls are accelerating. … Continue reading "It’s Half A Monday Evening Property Rant!"
In our latest Friday afternoon Journalist Tarric Brooker and I dive deep into the economic and political landscape, with the help of his slides. and try to understand what is going on. And Doh! seems to sum up the current housing mess, the current migration discussions, and the polarisation between different household groups. Importantly, inflation … Continue reading "Doh!…. With Tarric Brooker"
There was something in the Labor woodshed about migration that emerged yesterday and which may well signal a further change in policy to reduce migration into Australia. Some tweaks are already in the system, though net migration is hard for governments to control because most of the temporary visa categories are driven by demand and … Continue reading "Will Labor Really Cut Migration And Will Home Prices Fall Further Too?"
In this show we dive into the minds of first time buyers and offer 5 reasons why they should buy now, and 5 reasons why they should wait, to highlight the dilemmas they face as the Australian property market is going through a significant pivot. The once sure bet of property values seemly always rising … Continue reading "The First Time Buyer Dilemma…"
In this edit of our live show we looked at the latest across the markets, from AI, the Energy Wars, Inflation and the latest company results with Head of Investments, Damien Klassen. Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/ Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/ Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ … Continue reading "Investing Now: With Damien Klassen"
